Like “The Thanksgiving Play,” these shows have opened in the last couple of weeks and could have some recency bias counting in their favor. Meanwhile, “Summer, 1976” and “Good Night, Oscar” have gotten some love in the pre-Tony round of nominations from organizations like the Outer Critics and the Drama League. However, both “Riverside” and “Cost of Living” are older plays, and so may have less urgency around them that the two spring openers, “Prima Facie” and “Life of Pi,” that came Stateside after collecting Oliviers across the pond. Tom Stoppard’s season-long success “Leopoldstadt” will certainly secure a spot (and stands poised to become the frontrunner), while a trio of shows already recognized by the Pulitzer – “Fat Ham,” “Between Riverside and Crazy” and “Cost of Living” – are also jostling for spots. Weekly Commentary: It’s been a strong, crowded season for new plays, with five nominees in the category seemingly assured. Marcel Spears and Billy Eugene Jones in “Fat Ham” on Broadway. Tony Predictions: Best Actress in a Play - Jessica Chastain and Jodie Comer Lead the Tiny Pool of Eligible Contenders Tony Predictions: Best Actor - The Season's Biggest Stars Come Out to Compete Including Oscar Isaac, Corey Hawkins and Jeremy Pope Tony Predictions: Best Direction of a Play/Musical - Helmer Hopefuls Duke It Out Including LaTanya Richardson Jackson and Michael Arden Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below: As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis.

Tom stoppard 1966 play